Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.216188 0.245788 0.277508 0.313975 0.354687 0.398685 0.449777
2025-10-26 0.177660 0.217445 0.262881 0.318420 0.384274 0.459652 0.552243
2025-11-02 0.151753 0.198000 0.253789 0.325629 0.415222 0.522772 0.661102
2025-11-09 0.127995 0.177048 0.239238 0.323153 0.432600 0.569591 0.752979
2025-11-16 0.110008 0.160534 0.227554 0.321875 0.449915 0.616203 0.846757
2025-11-23 0.095493 0.146463 0.216960 0.320077 0.465228 0.660111 0.938908
2025-11-30 0.086337 0.138543 0.213527 0.327065 0.492122 0.720321 1.055863
2025-12-07 0.076731 0.128631 0.205932 0.326905 0.508225 0.765916 1.154676
2025-12-14 0.068632 0.119941 0.199037 0.326717 0.523623 0.810716 1.254205
2025-12-21 0.061854 0.112475 0.193101 0.327116 0.539386 0.856339 1.356816
2025-12-28 0.057019 0.107599 0.190643 0.332454 0.562646 0.913913 1.479731
2026-01-04 0.053331 0.104222 0.190188 0.340738 0.590738 0.979960 1.618502
2026-01-11 0.048790 0.098959 0.186303 0.343379 0.610498 1.035155 1.745189
2026-01-18 0.045586 0.095763 0.185628 0.351289 0.639303 1.106098 1.900341
2026-01-25 0.042951 0.093319 0.186005 0.360939 0.671500 1.184075 2.070626
2026-02-01 0.038997 0.087825 0.180296 0.359215 0.683895 1.230044 2.190912
2026-02-08 0.035591 0.083011 0.175355 0.358365 0.697540 1.278521 2.317409
2026-02-15 0.032453 0.078360 0.170250 0.356693 0.709402 1.324306 2.441268
2026-02-22 0.030677 0.076409 0.170219 0.364571 0.738975 1.401897 2.622787
2026-03-01 0.028241 0.072699 0.166291 0.364494 0.753638 1.453892 2.762138
2026-03-08 0.026033 0.069230 0.162512 0.364341 0.767999 1.505841 2.903516
2026-03-15 0.024087 0.066128 0.159200 0.364812 0.783453 1.560318 3.051596
2026-03-22 0.022759 0.064353 0.158566 0.370716 0.809777 1.635801 3.240676